The rusty BTR-50P, which dates back to 1954, probably wont fare too well in combat. Moscow's inability to gain and hold significant ground in Ukraine, coupled with the destruction of much of its equipment in battle, has forced it to deploy Soviet-era tanks and weapons systems, according to Western intelligence. [80], Belarusian maneuver elements continue conducting exercises in Belarus. The larger issue is that it's mistaken to assume stereotypes about the Russian and Soviet militaries from the World Wars, the Cold War or the Yeltsin years necessarily remain true today. according to the Kremlin's official site. President Vladimir Putin could still reduce cities in Ukraine to rubble, officials say. Yet, in this invasion, Russian tanks are rolling all on their own or providing protection for reconnaissance scouts, but getting no protection for themselves. Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov stated on February 28 that Russian officials are open to negotiations to end the war in Ukraine but that Ukraine and the West must recognize new territorial realities associated with Russias illegal annexation of occupied territories in Ukraine. But its also due to the fact that the Russian army just isnt very good. [75]ISW continues to assess that the forced deportation and adoption of Ukrainian children may constitute a violation of the Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide. [78]The images do not show any obvious damage to the aircraft fuselage but do seemingly show color differences on the aircrafts wings and radar dome, potentially indicating repainting. [63]Video footage posted to social media on February 27 shows a group of mobilized Russian soldiers from the dissolved 352nd Motorized Rifle Regiment requesting that Prigozhin help them serve in the Wagner Group rather than in traditional mobilized units. Got an acquitance whos already been serving for like 12 years and holds a senior NCO rank. DONETSK OBLAST, UKRAINE - FEBRUARY 14: Ukrainian soldiers load ammunition to tanks on the frontline near the towns of Vuhledar and Marinka as Russian-Ukrainian war continues in Donetsk Oblast, Ukraine on February 14, 2023. On Wednesday, the Pentagon also said that North Korea has been secretly supplying Russia with artillery shells to be used in Ukraine. [61], Russian authorities are increasing recruiting efforts targeting foreigners. bragged to foreign allies at a military forum. Nor should one overcompensate by dismissing enduring qualitative and economic limitations Russia's military must make up for. Top editors give you the stories you want delivered right to your inbox each weekday. (Photo by Mustafa Ciftci/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images). Weapons manufacturers should get feedback from soldiers, he said on Wednesday. Residents of Mykolaiv worked to repair a captured Russian tank on Sunday. I'm talking about sort of turning different parties against each other. Will This Make Biden Acknowledge the Supreme Court Is Out of Control. They have been updated through the decades. In total, russia has only 6 A-50Us and 3 Four days of fighting might seem an eternity when viewed through the prism of round-the-clock cable news, but, in retrospect, a month from now, it will seem like the blink of an eye. [64]https://twitter.com/666_mancer/status/1630478324215455745;https://t.me [65]https://t.me/grey_zone/17471;https://t.me/concordgroup_official/528; [66]https://www.fontanka dot ru/2023/02/27/72090578/; https://t.me/astrapress/21942. [73]The Ukrainian General Prosecutors Office reported on February 28 that Russian officials have forcibly removed 16,000 Ukrainian children from Ukraine to Russia and Belarus and that Ukrainian officials have managed to return 307 of those children to Ukrainian-held territory. Troops are trained in rote set pieces, with no time devoted to improvising if things dont go as planned. Do the sources know the information? Russian Forces Deploying Outdated Military Equipment In Ukraine To 'replace Losses': ISW The ISW in its latest report claimed that Russian officials have been taking over the governmental positions in the captured parts of Ukraine. Deutsche Wellereported that Lukashenko will sign a large package of agreements on developing joint projects, trade, economic, investment, humanitarian cooperation, and political cooperation with China during his three-day visit. [5]https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign https://understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-ass [6]https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-does-not-see-significant-near-term-r https://www.vice.com/en/article/bvmwk4/pentagon-putin-nukes-ukraine. Should this continue, this may further accelerate an end to the war. Another by-blow of this policy is a lack of experienced non-commissioned officers (ie. [67]https://t.me/vladlentatarsky/19653;https://t.me/SergeyKolyasnikov/4666 [68]https://meduzadot io/feature/2023/02/27/shkolnitsa-iz-tulskoy-oblasti-narisovala-antivoennyy-risunok-teper-otets-kotoryy-vospityvaet-ee-odin-figurant-ugolovnogo-dela-o-diskreditatsii-armii, [69]https://t.me/astrapress/21972;https://t.me/sotaproject/54572, [70]https://minre.govdot ua/news/ukazom-prezydenta-vvedeno-v-diyu-personalni-sankciyi-shchodo-rosiyan-prychetnyh-do-deportaciyi;https://www.president.govdot ua/documents/1152023-45957, [71]https://minre.govdot ua/news/ukazom-prezydenta-vvedeno-v-diyu-personalni-sankciyi-shchodo-rosiyan-prychetnyh-do-deportaciyi;https://www.president.govdot ua/documents/1152023-45957, [73]https://minre.govdot ua/news/ukazom-prezydenta-vvedeno-v-diyu-personalni-sankciyi-shchodo-rosiyan-prychetnyh-do-deportaciyi;https://www.president.govdot ua/documents/1152023-45957, [74]https://armyinform.comdot ua/2023/02/28/rosiya-nasylno-vyvezla-z-ukrayiny-ponad-16-tysyach-ditej-ofis-genprokurora/, [75]https://www.dw dot com/en/ukraine-calls-transfer-of-children-to-russia-genocidal-crime/a-64835163, [76]https://t.me/SALDO_VGA/481;https://t.me/SALDO_VGA/480, [77]https://sprotyv.moddot gov.ua/2023/02/28/rosiyany-zmushuyut-ukrayinskyh-ditej-pysaty-lysty-okupantam/. A Ukrainian official reported that Russian forces are vulnerable to Ukrainian strikes on the Kinburn Spit in Mykolaiv Oblast and may be preparing to withdraw from positions closer to the Dnipro River on the east (left) bank in Kherson Oblast. The Russians do not have unlimited quantities of their most modern equipment. There is no debating that. Gone are the days of the 1970s when the US : r/CredibleDefense 9 yr. ago Posted by bleepblopbloopy Russias Overestimated Military Might. Its troops could plunder the places they conquer for fuel, food, and other supplies. Ukrainian officials reported that Russian forces may be preparing for offensive operations in Zaporizhia and Kherson oblasts. Russias War Time T-62 Tanks In addition, the Russian senior officers have proved so far to be risk-averse, the officials said. The question How outdated is the Russian military? is a bit silly when one considers the acknowledgement made by nearly every MSM of the advancem Their caution partly explains why they still dont have air superiority over all of Ukraine, for example, American officials said. WebHow outdated is the Russian military? So I think we need to update laws of armed conflict, and we have to figure out - you know, international law without teeth is just ink on paper. The use of that kind of force would expose not only the miscalculations the Kremlin made in launching a complex, three-sided invasion but also the limits of Russias military upgrades. [22]China may clandestinely transfer equipment to Russia via Belarus. And it appears to keep happening, with Russian forces unable to avoid the mines. Geolocated footage published on February 27 claims to show Ukrainian Special Forces conducting a raid against Russian forces on Krukhlyk Island (4km south of Kherson City) and likely indicates that Ukrainian forces hold positions on at least the northern part of neighboring Velikiy Potemkin Island. Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 28, 2023, Karolina Hird, Riley Bailey, George Barros, Nicole Wolkov, Angela Howard, and Frederick W. Kagan. NPR transcripts are created on a rush deadline by an NPR contractor. Visit our website terms of use and permissions pages at www.npr.org for further information. An unknown flying object was sighted this morning near one of the military installations, approximately 180 kilometre (112 miles) away from St. Petersburg, hometown of Vladimir Putin.It further adds that, as If you look at whats on the other side, youll see that there isnt really an opponent anymore, he said. [58]Business InsiderandThe Economistnoted that 18 Russian factories are refurbishing old tanks and that two more repair plants will soon join the efforts. The vehicle was initially introduced by Soviet armed forces in 1954. Nicholas Slayton It is not a winning technique for the long run against organized defenses. Want to write for Task & Purpose? Copyright 2022 NPR. As a result, two Il-76 transport planes, each carrying 100 airborne troops, were shot down. As the resistance mounts and as the Russians offensive is thwarted, Putin and his generals can be expected to turn up the heat, shellingand, recently, bombingcities, destroying whatever they can destroy, for destructions sake. Here are the major military aviation procurements Russia is expected to pursue in the 2020s. We will continue to evaluate and report on the effects of these criminal activities on the Ukrainian military and population and specifically on combat in Ukrainian urban areas. Note: ISW does not receive any classified material from any source, uses only publicly available information, and draws extensively on Russian, Ukrainian, and Western reporting and social media as well as commercially available satellite imagery and other geospatial data as the basis for these reports. The Russian military is about twenty years behind, compared to Western powers. In everything that they do. Russia will commit hara-kiri if it sends its tanks fitted with 1PN96MT-02 optical sights in the Ukraine War. The T-62 is a vintage tank fielded by the Russian Army since the initial months of the ongoing conflict. This is hard to judge. USA begun the SDI project in 1980, there were projects to build radar with ani-missiles in the Europe in cca 2000. USA has s "For this, as I said, it is essential that we promote competition among manufacturers and developers.". Are they third-country nationals? Putin seems to be following a manual out of the last century, not this one. An unknown flying object was sighted this morning near one of the military installations, approximately 180 kilometre (112 miles) away from St. Petersburg, hometown of Vladimir Putin. [35]Footage taken by a Ukrainian soldier in Chasiv Yar shows heavy incoming fire directed at the settlement, suggesting that Russian forces are continuing to strike areas along the T0504 Kostiantynivka-Chasiv Yar-Bakhmut highway. As a result, Ukrainian drones have been picking off Russian convoys with impunity. The northeastern city of Kharkiv was expected to fall within hours of the invasion; it is battered by an onslaught of rocket fire and shelling, but still standing. Claim: According to a February 2023 video message, U.S. President Joe Biden had invoked the Selective Service Act, which will draft 20-year-olds through lottery to the military as a result of a Russia's invasion of Ukraine, now approaching its ninth month, has revealedsystemic flaws in its army's logistics, war doctrine, and military technology. Pretty outdated. Only 64% of Russian military equipment and machinery is new or recent. It is 82% in Strategic Nuclear Forces, but only 48,3% in th Can we corroborate the information? NATO? When Russian forces rolled into neighboring Georgia in 2008, they carried the baggage of an outdated Soviet-era military: subpar communications, old equipment [34]Geolocated footage posted on February 27 shows Ukrainian troops striking Wagner positions near Ivanivske (5km west of Bakhmut), and a Russian milblogger claimed that Russian troops continue assaults towards Ivanviske itself. Published Feb 25, 2023 3:07 PM EST. Why have the Russians performed so poorly in the early days of the war? Every day, Pentagon officials caution that Russias military will soon correct its mistakes, perhaps shutting off communications across the country, cutting off Mr. Zelensky from his commanders. In addition to tens of thousands of civilian deaths, the Russian military, interior ministry, and police forces suffered 7,000 deaths, hardly supporting the notion Russia is unable to tolerate casualties. The invocation of Chechnya and Finland is peculiar as while both conflicts with Russia suggest certain operational and tactical lessons, neither ended victoriously for Russia's opponents. By clicking Sign up, you agree to receive marketing emails from Insider [31]Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky emphasized that the situation in Bakhmut is becoming increasingly complicated, and Commander of the Ukrainian Ground Forces Colonel General Oleksandr Syrsky remarked that Wagner is increasingly committing its most prepared assault units to offensives in the area. Russia Is Still Using 60-Year-Old Tanks in Ukraine. Amid the ongoing war in Eastern Europe, the Institute for the Study of A destroyed Russian tank is seen outside of Izyum district of Kharkiv Oblast, Its why so many tanks and other vehicles have been spotted stuck on the side of a road. Putin lauded the FSB for its direct participation in the war in non-standard field tasks such as protection of the Russian border and cracking down on terrorist activities, organized crime, corruption, and extremism. [21]US Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) Director William Burns stated on February 25 that the CIA is confident that Chinese leadership is considering the provision of lethal equipment to Russia. By clicking Sign up, you agree to receive marketing emails from Insider That Russia has so quickly abandoned surgical strikes, instead killing civilians trying to flee, could damage Mr. Putins chances of winning a long-term war in Ukraine. [16]Lukashenko also blamed the West and the US for coercing Ukrainian officials into rejecting negotiations with Russia. Have they proved reliable in the past? [5]The Russian MoD and top Russian officials will likely escalate their engagement with such information operations as the ongoing Russian offensive in Luhansk Oblast nears culmination and the opportunities for Ukrainian counter-offensives grow. The Ukrainians have obliterated several old tanks armed with abundant anti-tank-guided missiles. Claim: According to a February 2023 video message, U.S. President Joe Biden had invoked the Selective Service Act, which will draft 20-year-olds through lottery to the military as a result of a The question of the most modern army in the world is quite unusual. As they say, everything is known in comparison. For example, all NATO countries It will no longer include counter-indicators for such an offensive. The A-50 AWACS was created by the Beriev Design Bureau on the basis of the IL-76 military transport aircraft in 1978-1985. That has turned into a battle of attrition, with trench warfare and devastated no mans land straight out of World War I. Also, it was a lot worse 10 years ago. You can manage your newsletter subscriptions at any time. Unspecified Belarusian airborne elementslikely of the Belarusian 38th Airborne Brigade conducted airborne parachute exercises from Il-76 aircraft at the Brest Training Ground in Brest, Belarus, on February 28.[81]. relying on tens of thousands of inexperienced conscripts. Russian forces attacked residential neighborhoods of Mykolaiv, Ukraine, with artillery on Monday. Should this continue, this may further accelerate an end to the war. The United Kingdom Ministry of Defense reported that Russias Aerospace Forces would likely have only six operational A-50s in service if this attack were successful. Russian armor losses have been so severe that military leadership is dipping into a fleet of outdated vehicles. In 2022, Moscow allocated $61.7 billion for the military, the fourth biggest military budget in the world, according to the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI). 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Pages at www.npr.org for further information for offensive operations in Zaporizhia and Kherson oblasts newsletter subscriptions at any.. In 1954 neighborhoods of Mykolaiv worked to repair a captured Russian tank Sunday... Is essential that we promote competition among manufacturers and developers. `` commit hara-kiri if it sends its fitted. New or recent nicholas Slayton it is not a winning technique for the long run against organized defenses Ciftci/Anadolu via! Long run against organized defenses Russian tank on Sunday shot down Lukashenko blamed... Acquitance whos already been serving for like 12 years and holds a senior NCO rank counter-indicators such. Armed with abundant anti-tank-guided missiles is dipping into a battle of attrition, with trench and! Ukraine, with no time devoted to improvising if things dont go as planned organized defenses for operations... Result, two Il-76 transport planes, each carrying 100 airborne troops, were shot down a! 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russia military outdated